Box EV
Which box is worth opening right now: 14 boxes scored on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 prices. Best today: VSTAR Universe at 313% of its sealed price.
Expected value is what a box is worth if you opened it and sold every card at market: expected pulls per rarity times the average price of that rarity in the set, plus the bulk. It is a statement about the cards, not about what we charge — we quote boxes per order rather than publishing a price, so the comparison to make is between this number and whatever you are being offered elsewhere. Odds are community pull rates for Japanese product, not published figures, and are shown on every page so you can disagree with them.
- 1VSTAR Universe10 packs · about $445 of cards a box$445
- 2Terastal Festival ex10 packs · about $428 of cards a box$428
- 3Pokémon Card 15120 packs · about $290 of cards a box$290
- 4Inferno X30 packs · about $263 of cards a box$263
- 5Mega Dream ex10 packs · about $217 of cards a box$217
- 6Shiny Treasure ex10 packs · about $150 of cards a box$150
- 7Ninja Spinner30 packs · about $148 of cards a box$148
- 8Abyss Eye30 packs · about $142 of cards a box$142
- 9Mega Brave30 packs · about $126 of cards a box$126
- 10Battle Partners30 packs · about $122 of cards a box$122
- 11White Flare20 packs · about $99 of cards a box$99
- 12Munkyss Zero30 packs · about $93 of cards a box$93
- 13Black Bolt20 packs · about $69 of cards a box$69
- 14Mega Symphonia30 packs · about $63 of cards a box$63
3 boxes we do not score yet
- Super Electric BreakerThe secret rares in this set are not graded in the catalogue yet, and they are most of a box’s value.
- Glory of Team RocketThe secret rares in this set are not graded in the catalogue yet, and they are most of a box’s value.
- Heat Wave ArenaThe market prices we hold for this set’s chase cards look incomplete, so it is not scored.
The odds we assume
- 30 packs of 5
- 6 RR · 6.5 AR · 1.4 SR · 0.5 SAR · 0.25 UR · 1 ACE per box. Standard 30-pack box: about six ex, six or seven AR, one or two SR, an SAR in roughly every other box and a gold UR in roughly one box in four.
- 20 packs of 7
- 4 RR · 4.5 AR · 1 SR · 0.35 SAR · 0.15 UR · 0.7 ACE per box. 20-pack box of 7-card packs: the same slot structure as a 30-pack box, scaled to two thirds of the packs.
- 10 packs of 10
- 12 RR · 8 AR · 4 SR · 1.2 SAR · 0.4 UR per box. High-class 10-pack box: every pack carries guaranteed hits, so the numbers are higher and rougher than a standard box.
Grades are the catalogue’s: RR is ex, AR is art rare, SR is full art, SAR is special art rare, UR is gold. A set whose secret cards arrived ungraded is scored with one pooled secret slot, and a set with no usable prices is left off the board rather than scored on nothing. Dollar figures are Cardmarket European averages converted at EUR 1 = $1.1460 (ECB, 2026-09-18), not US market prices.